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The Risk Of The Spillover Of Insecurity From Somalia
And
Responses To It
By Prof.
Kinfe Abraham
President, Ethiopian International
Institute for Peace and Development (EIIPD) and HADAD (The Horn of
Africa Democracy and Development) International Lobby |

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When
Barre left Mogadishu in 1991, there was chaos in Somalia. The Hawiyee
split into two. By 1992, there were 13 factions in Somalia. They fought
one another. The end result was factional fighting which continues to
this day. Unfortunately, the violence is not restricted to Somalia. The
problems related to terrorism which faced Kenya and Ethiopia had their
origins in Somalia.1
The Somalia Calling
Security
Concerns Caused by Somalia
Life and
property are not guaranteed in Somalia. The Islamic courts and the
militia have been trying to maintain law and order. This has some effect
in spite of the fact that Somalis are not known for their adherence to
extreme brands of Islam.
Some form of
government is necessary to do away with the anarchy. The alternative is
continued chaos. The Transitional National Government (TNG) faces many
challenges. There is still opposition to it from the factional leaders.
The underlying challenge is the threat of international terrorism.2
When it comes to security, Somalia is alleged to be a hub or potential hub
of international terrorists. It is said to have served as a strategic
base and a launching pad for international terrorism in the Horn and much
of East Africa.
Given the
above, Somalia is said to have provided safe haven for terrorists.
Terrorists thrive in a condition of statelessness. One reason for the
choice of Somalia is that it is located at a transit point from the Gulf,
the Middle East, Afghanistan, etc.
Weapons are
easily accessible. Small arms and even grenades are easily accessible for
purchase and are very cheap. Islamic NGOs are exploited by terrorists.
There is also illicit money transaction.3
The Risks of the Spillover of Insecurity from Somalia
The former
US Ambassador to Ethiopia, David Shinn, in a recent study entitled
“Ethiopia Coping with Islamic Fundamentalism Before and After September
11” has brought to light the renewed threat which Ethiopia and the other
Horn of African countries face. Shinn refers to how this threat has
changed in content and orientation over time, stating:
Prime
Minister Meles Zenawi commented in the mid-1990s that the most significant
long-term threat to Ethiopia's security is Islamic fundamentalism. At that
time, the principal external threats emanated from Somalia and,
especially, the Sudan. The concern with the Sudan has, at least for the
time being, dissipated itself. On the other hand, the events of September
11, 2001 have caused Ethiopia to focus on the situation in Somalia,
particularly on the threat posed by hostile Islamic groups such as Al
Itihaad al Islamia (Unity of Islam).4
Shinn also
underscored the significance and vulnerability of Ethiopia adding,
"Ethiopia is the linchpin to the Horn of Africa. What happens there
impacts the rest of the region." He then explained why especial attention
should be paid to Ethiopia in assessing the future evolution of Islam
noting, "the importance of Islam in Ethiopia is not well appreciated by
the United States, and U .S. officials are well advised to pay attention
to Ethiopian Islam and the way in which Ethiopia interacts with its
Islamic neighbors."5
Ethiopia
has been exposed to some incidents of threat posed by extremist groups
including the assassination attempt on the life of Egyptian president
Hosni Mubarak in June of 1995. Much has not changed since 1995. What has
changed is the global awareness about the virile risk of religious
extremism in the Horn and elsewhere. Needless to add, worry about Somalia
becoming a safe haven for fugitives from Afghanistan has accentuated the
anxiety which is widely felt in the West as a whole. Nevertheless, there
are also other historical and current factors which highlight Ethiopia's
vulnerability. The former U.S. Ambassador also confirms this view in the
passage below:
This
analysis will argue that September 11 has not significantly altered
Ethiopia's security situation vis-ŕ-vis the threat from Islamic
fundamentalism. What has changed is a new interest by the United States
and others in possible Al Qaeda links to the Horn of Africa, particularly
Somalia, and the prospect that Ethiopia, among others, can take political
advantage of this new situation.6
Nevertheless, the understanding of the role of Islam must be put in a
longer historical context in order to understand why it might continue to
be a factor in the security evolution in the Horn of Africa in general and
Ethiopia in particular. The Ambassador had this to add, “But before
getting to the end of the story, it is important to look first at
Ethiopia’s historical interactions with Islam and the status of lslam in
Ethiopia today. An understanding of Ethiopia's position also requires a
review of the last decade of Islamic fundamentalist threats to Ethiopia
from Sudan and Somalia.”7
The Strength
and Vulnerability of Neighboring States – Ethiopia
As the
country which provided safe haven to the early Moslem refugees and as one
which embraced Islam centuries ago, Ethiopia ought to be exempt from Jihad
and extremist incursions from Somalia or other states. Indeed, this is
also in line with the wish of Prophet Mohammed. According to tradition, a
group of Arab followers of Islam in danger of persecution by local
authorities in Arabia are said to have been given safe haven in the
Aksumite Kingdom of the Ethiopian Christian highlands early in the seventh
century. Besides, they were well treated and permitted to practice their
religion as they wished. Consequently, the Prophet Muhammad had said,
'Ethiopia should not be targeted for jihad'.
However, in
spite of the magnanimity which was extended to the early Moslem refugees,
Islam in imperial Ethiopia has historically been accorded a secondary
place. Even so, Christian-Islamic relations in Ethiopia remained
generally cordial until the Islamic raids led by Ahmed Gragn who invaded
the Ethiopian highlands from the Somali port of Zeila in the late
fifteenth century.
It is also
worthy of note that Ethiopia, despite the wish of the Prophet, was again
exposed to two other Islamic invasions. One was by Egypt in 1875 and the
other by the Sudanese Mahadists in 1888. However, both ended with decisive
Ethiopian victories. But, these invasions reflected more of competition
for power rather than profound religious motives. Even so, the two
invasions also evoked memories of Christian victories which have produced
a feeling of vindictiveness among some Moslem countries. The extent of
this is, for instance, highlighted by the Sudanese invasion and the
Ethiopian response to it as can be discerned in the passage below:
The last
major, organized threat from Islam occurred in 1888, when the forces of
the Mahdi in the Sudan sacked the former capital Gonder and burned many of
its churches. The following year the Ethiopians defeated the Mahdist
troops at the Battle of Metema on the Ethiopian-Sudanese border.8
But it
should be noted that the above history reflects more the Christian-Muslim
hegemonic competition for control of the Ethiopian highlands rather than
an early effort to impose Islamic fundamentalist rule. Event so, it
should once again be emphasized that the non-Muslims, particularly those
who held political power, had not forgotten this background as they
confronted more threats in subsequent years. This is probably relevant
even at present.
The above
view does not, however, imply that Moslems were fairly treated in
Ethiopian history. This, to a large measure, had to do with the historical
dynastic legitimacy claimed by Christian Ethiopian rulers and the
topography of the country, which consigned Moslems to the costal lowland
areas. This point is further developed below:
Islam
expanded gradually in Ethiopia, especially in the lower-lying parts of the
country. Most Ethiopian Muslims belong to indigenous ethnic groups; they
are not of Arab descent. Always treated as a secondary religion, Islam
emerged in the shadow of Christianity, and Muslims experienced
discrimination.9
Christian-Moslem Relations in the Horn of Africa Ethiopia
Nevertheless, it should also be noted that the Christian-Moslem
relationship in Ethiopia was characterized more by cohabitation and
friendship rather than hostilities. This was so because, there were only
a few brief periods when Christian rulers tried to suppress Islam. This,
for instance, was true of the period around the rule of Gonder in the
seventeenth century, when Muslim communities enjoyed considerable
autonomy.
But, the
antagonism between Christianity and Islam was accentuated by colonialism
and what transpired following the Italian occupation of Eritrea. However,
this had to do with domestic power struggle which was taken advantage of
by external players. For instance, three internal developments in the
twentieth century had revived Christian concerns about Islam. One of them
was that upon the death of Emperor Menelik in 1913, "his grandson, Lij
Iyasu, inherited the throne. Iyasu was pushed aside after three years,
having made what the Christian leadership considered too many overtures to
Muslims, renewing concerns that followers of Islam might try to assume
power.
As noted
above, the other factor which had bearing on Christian-Moslem relationship
was the colonial policy of Italy which was skewed in favor of Moslems with
the aim of fostering hostility between them. This was a ploy of the
colonial strategy of divide and control as can be seen below:
Following
its invasion of Ethiopia in 1936, Italy took a number of measures that
favored Muslims at the expense
of Christians, a policy that led to some incidents that Christians did
not soon forget.10
Another
development which negatively impacted the Christian-Moslem relationship in
Ethiopia was the secessionist struggle of Eritrea which took root
following the end of the Italian and British rule of it. The event which
led to this was that, "in 1961 the Eritrean Liberation Front (ELF) began
an armed struggle to create an independent Eritrean state. A largely
Islamic movement, the ELF drew its fighters from Muslim nomadic tribes,
and its leaders called for a jihad against Christian Ethiopia."
Nevertheless, subsequently the leadership of the Eritrean independence
movement was taken over by Christians who continued to hold the upper hand
when Eritrea became independent in 1993.11
The Ethiopian Response to Extremist Islam Separation of
State and Religion
The current
EPRDF-led government which overthrew the Derg (1991) has done much by way
of separating state and religious affairs. This was especially true of the
period following the overthrow of Emperor Haile Sellasie I in 1974 who was
close to the church by the Socialist/Military regime (1974-91). One can,
therefore, safely say that religious troubles were, to a large measure,
fostered by outsiders. But there are also other domestic factors which
have made Christian-Moslem relationship in Ethiopia less problematic than
would have otherwise been the case. The implications of this on the
acceptance or rejection of ideas of Islamic fundamentalism in Ethiopia are
further elaborated upon below:
As a
result of the way, Islam has developed in Ethiopia and due to more recent
concerted efforts to avoid religious conflicts, Ethiopian Muslims are
generally not receptive to Islamic fundamentalism. Muslims in Ethiopia
tend to identify first with their ethnic kin. They are geographically
intermixed throughout the country except for overwhelming concentrations
in Somali- and Afar-inhabited areas. Although the Supreme Islamic Council
is an important organization, political power among Ethiopian Muslims
tends to be decentralized. By and large, the Ethiopian Islamic community
is a beginning one.12
During the
imperial rule which was based on dynastic credentials of succession, only
those who belonged to the Solomonic line of kings were allowed to assume
power. Hence, the political scene was dominated by Christian rulers to
the detriment of adherence of Islam and other religions. But, this was
terminated after the overthrow of the imperial rule in 1974. Since then
state and religion have been effectively separated.
The Impact
of Constitutional Reform on Christian-Moslem Relations
The above
happened during the period of the military government, but it was
enshrined in the new federal constitution of Ethiopia which was
promulgated by the EPRDF in 1995. The new constitution has declared the
equality of all Ethiopians regardless of nationality, color and religion.
Accordingly, all Ethiopians, without any prejudice to religion, can run
and be elected for the highest office in government.
Further, as
a result of the constitutional change more and more adherents of Islam in
Ethiopia have begun to participate in the political process by being
elected as well as appointed.
The
aforesaid constitutional transformation has reduced the tension between
adherents of different religious belief systems. It has also extended
freedom of worship to all citizens. This, in practical terms, has
separated state and religious affairs. It has also created a more
convivial and harmonies national environment of peaceful coexistence and
tolerance.
To realize the above, constitutional remedies have been taken to boost the
healing process of past religious and national conflicts which have
plagued Ethiopia for decades, if not centuries. These include the
provisions made on:
-
The
recognition of the equality of nations and nationalities which includes
the right to determine their status;
-
Acceptance of the process and praxis of elected representation,
including the concept of an elected government with a defined tenure of
office and briefs of accountable mandate; and
-
Freedom of the individual to practice the
religion of his/her choice without any form of discrimination.13
Apart from the above measures, on the relationship between Christianity,
Islam and other religions, Donald Levine's example of the common terrain
of Ethiopian culture is also an area to capitalize on. This is especially
important in order to promote a healthy relationship among all religions
in Ethiopia. He writes:
The larger Ethiopian culture area subscribed to a belief in a supreme
heavenly deity, and use similar words to represent this deity--most
commonly, cognates of waq, appear among the Afar, Shoa, Somalia, Oromo,
Gurage, Hadiya, Timbaro, Sidamo, Konso, Burji, Tsamako, Gamu, Dasenech,
and Majangirr: The root [word] also appears in Geez wuqabi, a person's
divinely appointed guardian spirit. So
one
can view the peoples of Greater Ethiopia as monotheists, Semitic (Judaic,
Christian, and Islamic) and local, who nevertheless share a number of
other kinds of symbolisms, like the special aura of respect for trees
endowed with sacred significance. There has been a great deal of
intermixing of different Ethiopian religions historically: Jews and
Christians converted back and forth over the centuries, in ways unheard of
elsewhere in the world; traditional Oromo rituals and Christian rituals
were observed side by side at Zuqwala; Muslims, Christians, and Jews alike
made the annual pilgrimage to Kulubi Gabriel; peoples of diverse
backgrounds visited the shrine of Sheik Hussein.14
FOOTNOTES
1Kinfe
Abraham, The Somalia Calling: The Crisis of Statehood and the
Quest for Peace, ibid., p. 465.
2-3Ibid.
4David
Shinn,
Ethiopia
Coping with Islamic Fundamentalism Before and After September 11.
5-12Ibid.
13The
State of the Horn
(Yearbook of the Eye on Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa) Vol. VI, 1998, p.
159.
14Donald
Levine, Cited in
Ethiopia
from Empire to Federation,
2001, p. 307.
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