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Impact of
Islamic Extremist Forces on Developments In North Africa
President, Ethiopian International
Institute for Peace and Development (EIIPD) and HADAD
(The Horn of Africa Democracy and Development) International Lobby
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In the
early 1990s, the Islamic movement spreading throughout the Islamic world
developed momentously from the east to the west, formed rapidly new
centers and brought the movement into a regional grouping in North Africa,
demonstrating an unprecedentedly forceful posture and a trend of
internationalization, especially in Sudan and Algeria where new upsurges
have appeared. In June 1989, under the engineering of the National
Islamic Front led by the Sudanese religious leader Hassan el Turabi,
General Bashir staged a military coup d’état and successfully established
an Islamic regime in the Sudan; and in 1990, legal steps were taken to
elaborate and further establish the state form of integration of politics
with religion, thereby following the Islamic Republic of Iran, Sudan
became the second center and gathering place for Islamic activities in
North Africa. Since then, the Islamic forces in the region have
tremendously grown in courage and strength.1
Liu Yueqin
Overview
As a result
of the above, as Liu Yueqin rightly observes a domino effect of the
Islamic drive has been taking place in Algeria, Egypt, Tunisia and
Morocco. Besides, terrorist activities have become widespread in the
North African countries in recent years and have tended to increase in
intensity, and are especially fierce in Egypt and Algeria. At the same
time, Islamic extremists in other countries of the region have become very
active.2
They have
also drawn the attention of the international community and become
impedimental to the security, stability and political and economic
development of the North African countries themselves. Besides, these
Islamic forces have become a source of great strain and stress to the
governments in the region.3
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Terrorism in
Egypt
Among the
North African countries, Egypt is the most vulnerable. Here, terrorist
activities are rampant, very serious and acute. This has been the case for
many years with political assassinations occurring in succession. One such
event which shocked the world was the assassination of President Anwar
Sadat in 1981. Another one which shook the world equally was the
assassination attempt on the life of President Mubarek in Addis Ababa in
June 1995. Besides, a number of important government officials and social
celebrities including Egypt’s cabinet prime minister, parliament speaker,
publicity minister and interior minister were successively attacked by
terrorist groups in recent years. Some were killed and others wounded
escaping the attempted assassinations.
Moreover,
the Egyptian tourism sector has been successfully targeted by terrorist
groups on several occasions. The latest example of such incidents was the
attack that took place at the tourist resort city of Sharmashek in which
88 domestic and international tourists were killed and 200 wounded. This
attack coincided with the series of terrorist incidents that took place in
the city of London in the month of July 2005 in which 56 people were
killed and more than 700 wounded.
Tourists
have also been targeted in many locations like Cairo, Alexandria, Luxor
and other places and one of the most recent ones took place in Cairo in
April 2005. Most acts of terrorism were perpetrated by homegrown Egyptian
terrorists who have caused a lot of destruction and pose a trade to the
survival of the state and its polity.4
Terrorist
acts have tended to focus on the overthrow of the government of President
Mubarek, particularly after 1992. They have also attacked western
interests like that of the Unites States in Egypt and resulted in the
assassination of innocent tourists and other nationals. A climax was
reached in the number of terrorist attacks between January and November of
1997 when more than 30 terrorist incidents took place. This happened in
many parts of the country and caused at least 180 fatalities and several
hundreds injuries.
One of the
most notable of the above acts of terror was the assassination carried out
by six terrorists at a temple in Luxor on November 17, 1997. This resulted
in the killings of 58 foreign tourists and Egyptians. The act severely
affected the tourism industry leading to the loss of several billion
dollars in revenue from the sector. It also severely hampered the
economic growth of the country.5
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Terrorism in
Algeria
Another
country which faces serious challenges from terrorism is Algeria. It has
been for some time seriously preoccupied with Islamic terrorism. These
began in the early 1990s and escalated over the decade causing serious
havoc to the political stability and economic development of the country
until it slackened significantly in early 2000.
Events of
the 1990s in Algeria were revealing. One of the reasons which led to the
intensification of terrorism was the fact that the Islamic Salvation Front
(ISF) had grown in strength. It even participated in a western-style
democratic election and was able to defeat the ruling party in late 1991.
It then became very aggressive when the outcome of the election was
annulled by the incumbent government which sent the military forcing it to
go underground. Then the anti-government struggle started with the FIS
creating many terrorist incidents.6
The Islamic
extremists then turned against the west because it supported the incumbent
government. Thus, they created disturbances both at home and abroad. They
engineered dozens of vicious explosions in Paris and at the US military
base in Saudi Arabia and other places, causing great panic in the Western
world. Hence, Algeria was very closely identified with terrorism.
Since the
beginning of the Islamic Ramadan of 1997, a series of terrorist activities
were committed in Algeria. Over a dozen bloody terrorist incidents and
explosions took place involving the loss of more than thousand lives and
destruction of property during this period. It is also estimated that up
to 50,000 people were killed and property worth USD 2 billion was lost
since 1992.7
The above
destruction has had an adverse effect on the political and economic life
of Algerians. Besides, such activities have evolved into acts of
international terrorism beyond the borders of Algeria. It is also reported
that some of these terrorist organizations have presence in the west from
where they export arms and ammunitions to Algeria.
In response
to the above, the Algerian government has had to adopt several measures of
counter-terrorism. For instance, it was forced to purchase advanced
equipment and weapons form abroad. The General Bureau of National
Gendarmerie and State Security have also set up some additional 357-branch
contingents in the 46 provinces of the country. Since 1995, the government
has also created 5000 local self-protection organizations, including 150
thousand militias to combat terrorism. Hence, at present Algeria has a
nation-wide anti-terrorist network in place. The main bodies of this
include the army, police, Gendarmerie and the militias which perform a
supportive role.8
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Terrorism in
Libya
There has
also been talk about an assassination attempt on the life of Libyan leader
colonel Gadafi. But, the Libyan government has denied this. Nevertheless,
two most well known Islamic opposition groups in Libya - the “Armed
Islamic Group” and “Martyr Movement” have claimed responsibility for it
and some 300 suspects were allegedly arrested. Besides, analysts are more
inclined to believe that the assassination attempt took place as Colonel
Gadafi had to cancel his visit of Egypt which was scheduled to take place
in June.
It is also
plausible that the assassination attempt took place in view of the fact
that islamist extremist groups are said to operate in the east part of the
country. The Libyan air force has also been used to attack fundamentalist
groups that operate in the mountainous parts of the country.9
It is also
worthy of note that Libya itself has been regarded as a terrorist or
terrorist friendly country hostile to US interests for many years until it
complied to destroy its nuclear weapons in 2004. In fact, the US had
bombed Libya because of the air crash of 1988 with which it was implicated
and for which it had to pay substantial amounts of money as compensation.
Before that, it was put under comprehensive sanctions including air
embargo by the UN Security Council on the insistence of the UK and US.
Besides,
because of the UN sanctions Libya has incurred great economic losses in
different sectors including oil, metallurgy, agriculture, livestock
product, trade, transport and communication and other fields since 1994.
The total economic loss which it has incurred is estimated at USD 38
billion.10
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Terrorism in
the Sudan
Sudan was
implicated with the two terrorist explosions that hit US embassies in
Nairobi and Dar es Salaam in August 2001. As a result, on August 20, the
US bomb targets in the Sudan and Afghanistan using cruise missiles and
aircrafts. The US unilateral action was taken in retaliation to the
suspected involvement of the two countries in the terrorist attacks of Bin
Laden.
The US
attacks resulted in great economic losses and human casualties. Naturally,
the response of the two countries to the US attacks was one of
condemnation for its violation of international law and the charter of the
UN.
For instance
on August 22, the Sudanese Foreign Minister had written to the Chairman of
the UN Security Council requesting the UN to prevail on the US to put an
end to its acts of aggression. It was also reported that anti-US
demonstrations took place in Khartoum during which angry Sudanese youth
broke into the already evacuated US Embassy in the capital, burning the US
national flag and destroying US Embassy facilities.11
Events in
Sudan and Afghanistan were also followed by a chain of very dangerous acts
of retaliation and counter-retaliation. According to the US, the anti-US
activities followed the order of Bin Laden that American personnel and
facilities across the world be attacked. In response to this and because
of fear of retaliation the US had closed down three American Centers in
Islamabad, Karachi and Lahore, withdrawn a large part of its embassy staff
from such places. The US department of state had also issued warnings to
American agencies stationed in various countries of the world, requesting
them to adopt a high sense of security consciousness.
One reason
why the US heightened its alarm to its citizens was the fact that it
recognized Bin Laden as a dangerous adversary to its interests. The US
also recognized that Bin Laden had both financial strength and strong
international support among islamists in the east and west. The US also
appreciated the fact that Bin Laden had combat-ready capabilities because
of his experience of fighting the USSR in Afghanistan from 1979 to 1989.12
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Terrorism in
Morocco
Morocco is
another victim of terrorism in North Africa. For instance, the “Islamic
Organization of Justice and Charity” had boycotted the national election.
The said organization has strong support among university students and its
leader, Abedssalam Yassine, has been under house arrest for more than 8
years. Besides, the number two leader, Fathallah Arslan, although a
moderate who has refrained from criticizing the king, has openly espoused
the Iranian model of Islamic state.13
Although the
Islamic movements in Morocco are not as radical as similar organizations
in Algeria and elsewhere, they have strongly advocated reform and accused
the government of creating an artificial parliament.
They have
also began to exert pressure on the government through their proposals and
actions. Economic issues including employment are also frequently raised,
but this applies not only to Morocco but also many of the other North
African countries and Arab states like Saudi Arabia.14
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Terrorism
in North Africa
Economic
development in North Africa has generally failed to keep abreast with
global trends. As a result, many of them are busy introducing reforms,
creating free-trade zones, expanding economic cooperation and opening up
their markets to Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Nevertheless, such
efforts must be backed up by an environment of peace and political
stability.
Political
stability is crucial because the image of the North African countries and
Arab states has been badly bruised by various acts of violence perpetrated
by Islamist organizations. Investors who are anxious about their profit
margin have thus been wary about putting their money where risks are very
high.
Therefore,
it is especially important that the North African countries put an end to
the terrorist activities carried out in the name of Islam, which have
constituted a major problem affecting the successful development of these
countries. Addressing the issue of terrorism is, therefore, a critical
priority for improving the business environment. In fact, this probably is
why Moroccan king Mohammed VI introduced a Truth and Reconciliation
Commission to deal with several thousands of Islamist and other decedent
groups in the country in May 2005.15
The
Islamists have been flaunting the banner of Islam with apparent political
growth. Failing to deal with them promptly could have dire consequences by
way of upsetting the political order, undermining the social environment
and bringing about great socio-economic losses to the state and society.
Heretofore,
the North African countries have made great progress in combating
religious terrorist activities. The terrorist groups have also been
weakened and forced to resort to guerilla tactics. Besides, the Islamist
organizations have their own internal problems and contradictions. Some of
them include the following:
-
They are
not in such favorable social and political conditions as on the eve of
the Iranian Islamic revolution;
-
They are
neither in such conditions as on the eve of the establishment of Islamic
regime in Sudan;
-
Governments is North African are firmly in command of the national armed
forces, and they are in control of the national economic lifelines and
mass media, thus being fully able to eliminate the terrorist forces;
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The
terrorists are bereft of the support of the common people as their
activities have brought disasters to them; and
-
International efforts against terrorism have been intensified, and
countries concerned both in the East and the West are joining hands and
coordinating with each other for encircling and suppressing the
terrorist organizations, thus gathering a tremendous pressure on them.16
Given the
current efforts, therefore, the North African countries are well poised to
weaken the terrorists further and improve the political and business
environment. Nevertheless, their future success hinges on how persistently
they pursue their current policies of combating terrorism while
simultaneously strengthening the results they have achieved so far.
FOOTNOTES
1Liu
Yueqin, Cited in the African Economist Yearbook, HADAD, 2005, p. 272.
2-3Ibid,
pp. 262-63.
4-5Ibid,
pp. 264-66.
6-8Ibid,
pp. 266-68.
9-10Ibid,
pp. 269-71.
11-12Ibid,
pp. 273-75.
13-14Ibid,
pp. 278-80.
15-16Ibid,
pp. 285-90.
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